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Taiwan Defense & Security Reports

Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q1, 2007

Seemingly endless political wrangling, the obvious election-year mentality shown by Taiwan politicians, and having the government’s general operating budget – of which the defense budget is a part – trapped in the Legislative Yuan (LY) due to disagreements over the composition of the Central Election Commission (CEC) made for a frustrating first quarter of 2007. Nevertheless, meaningful progress continues to be made in Taiwan in many areas of interest to the defense and national security community both in Taiwan and abroad.

This quarterly report provides a summary of major political developments over the past three months, developments that will shape the playing field for important defense and national security issues – or indeed for all of Taiwan’s significant public policy decisions – in the coming year. The report also includes the usual review of the status of defense policy matters in Taiwan, an update on the defense budget, notes on U.S.-Taiwan security cooperation during the quarter, and an update on the major Taiwan procurement programs.

 

Executive Summary: Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q1, 2007

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Taiwan Defense & Security Reports

Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Annual Review, 2006

Despite some notable progress, 2006 was largely a year of continued frustrations in Taiwan’s national security policy arena, a situation fueled by partisan feuds, political scandals, and turmoil. As the year drew to a close, however, a number of early but potentially promising signs did begin to emerge, although it remains to be seen how the expected consolidations within the major political factions in 2007 will impact Taiwan’s defense and national security endeavors.

This report provides a brief overview of significant developments in the defense and security arena in Taiwan during 2006, and offers some perspectives on the larger environmental factors that have, and will continue to, influence Taiwan’s national security-related activities in the coming year.

 

Executive Summary: Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Annual Review, 2006

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Taiwan Defense & Security Reports

Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q3, 2006

During the past quarter, Taiwan President Chen Shui-bian’s ability to take the initiative in the legislative and policy arenas has been undermined by growing political turmoil. While Taiwan’s defense establishment has tried to retain a policy-oriented focus, the national security community has also been visibly impacted by fallout from a number of alleged political scandals.

Meanwhile, continued gridlock in the Legislative Yuan has exacerbated U.S. misgivings about Taiwan’s willingness to tangibly contribute to its own national security. These developments have the potential to derail progress in U.S.-Taiwan security cooperation, a relationship that has taken decades to cultivate.

This quarter’s defense and national security analysis examines the political dynamics that seem to define the limits of current prospects for several of Taiwan’s key defense efforts. This report will also discuss defense policy issues and defense budget and procurement developments, and will offer a review of current U.S.-Taiwan defense relations.

 

Executive Summary: Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q3, 2006

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Past Events

September 10-12, 2006 – US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2006

Event:
US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2006

September 10-12, 2006
Denver, Colorado

2006 US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference
2006 US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference

The United States–Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2006 was held September 10-12, 2006 in Denver, Colorado. This was the fifth in a series of ongoing conferences addressing the future of U.S. defense cooperation with Taiwan, the defense procurement process, and Taiwan’s future defense and national security needs.

The first conference in this series was held in St. Petersburg, Florida in March of 2002, the second in February 2003 in San Antonio, Texas, the third in October 2004 in Phoenix, Arizona, and the fourth in September 2005 in San Diego, California.

Keynote Addresses
The 2006 conference featured keynote addresses from Ko Chen-Heng, Deputy Minister (Policy) at Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense, by William C. Greenwalt, the Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Industrial Policy at the U.S. Department of Defense, and by Clifford Hart, Director of the Office of Taiwan Coordination at the U.S. Department of State.

Conference Program
Sessions at the US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference featured moderators and several speakers. Each speaker presented a short summary of a paper on the session topic from his or her own viewpoint, followed by a moderator-driven question and answer period. This format provides the maximum amount of time for exchanges between the panel and the audience, offering a forum for substantial and valuable interaction and discussion.

Breakout Sessions
Three sub-sessions within Session IV concentrated on each branch of the services: Army, Air Force, and Navy. These sessions consisted of discussions focusing on current issues from the perspective of each individual branch, Army, Air Force, and Navy. This year, the themes discussed included Joint Offshore Defense (Air), Joint Offshore Defense (Sea), and Homeland Defense.

Archived version of the website for the 2006 US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference

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Press Releases

Senior U.S. and Taiwan Defense Officials to Deliver Keynotes at US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2006

William Greenwalt, Deputy Under Secretary of Defense for Industrial Policy, and Ko Chen-Heng, Vice Minister of Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense, will deliver keynote addresses at the US–Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2006. This event, hosted by the US-Taiwan Business Council, will take place September 10-12, 2006 in Denver, Colorado.

The conference focuses on strategic US-Taiwan defense cooperation, government/industry partnerships, and Taiwan’s future defense and national security needs. Rupert Hammond-Chambers, President of the Council, said, “We are delighted to have DUSD Greenwalt – whose office ensures that DoD policies stimulate competition and innovation in the industries supporting defense – speak at the conference. DUSD Greenwalt offers a unique perspective on U.S.-Taiwan defense industrial cooperation and its role in the development of an indigenous Taiwan defense industry.”

Hammond-Chambers added, “We are honored to have Vice Minister Ko speak at the conference. His views and insights on Taiwan’s current and future defense policy, expanding Taiwan’s defensive capabilities by increasing defense spending up to 3% of GDP, and building bi-partisan support for a comprehensive national security policy, will be both valuable and timely.”

 

Senior U.S. and Taiwan Defense Officials to Deliver Keynotes at US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2006 (PDF file)

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Taiwan Defense & Security Reports

Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q2, 2006

Marked by a series of corruption scandals, waning domestic confidence in its ability to sustain its economic growth, and a growing military challenge stemming from the People’s Republic of China (PRC), Taiwan’s security environment is complex and dynamic.

With an eye on national elections scheduled for December 2007 and March 2008, Taiwan’s political landscape is becoming increasingly polarized as opposite ends of the spectrum seek to dominate the island’s political agenda. Fierce political debates are taking place on topics as diverse as the rising national debt, competing requirements for central government expenditures, challenges in shoring up its revenue base, and the growing migration of Taiwan’s industrial sector toward mainland China.

In this political and economic environment, Taiwan’s defense establishment is coping with how best to ensure an adequate self-defense capability with limited resources. This quarterly report reviews events over the last quarter, including the ongoing political paralysis, economic security issues, and trends in defense policy.

 

Executive Summary: Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q2, 2006

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Taiwan Defense & Security Reports

Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q1, 2006

Taiwan continues to face a number of challenges in meeting its defense and national security needs. The island’s political environment is growing increasingly challenging, while changes in Taiwan’s domestic milieu have become more rapid and dramatic than at any time in its history. In many respects, Taiwan is going through a form of transitional crisis from which it is unlikely to emerge until after the next presidential election in 2008.

The overriding interest on both sides of the political spectrum is maintaining or gaining political power. The political environment is charged by fundamental disagreements on issues associated with national identity. On one side of the continuum is the pan-Green coalition, consisting of the Democratic People’s Party (DPP) and the Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU), which stresses a Taiwanese identity separate and unique from that of mainland China. The opposition pan-Blue coalition of the Kuomintang (KMT) and People’s First Party (PFP) continue to feel strongly about Taiwan identification with the mainland. The dominant parties within these coalitions – the DPP and the KMT – are currently focused on positioning themselves to win intermediate elections over the next two years, setting the stage for the presidential elections in March 2008. Their junior partners, the PFP and the TSU, are striving to remain politically relevant.

In this struggle, each side has adopted tactical measures to enlist support from external allies in the United States, the PRC, and elsewhere to further their domestic political agendas. The pan-Blue and pan-Green coalitions tend to cast each other in the darkest hue possible, with the Blues highlighting the Greens as working towards destroying Taiwan through the pursuit of de jure independence, and driving the nation’s economy into the ground. In turn, the pan-Green coalition has accused its opponents of “selling out” Taiwan to communist China.

A more accurate and less sensationalist perspective reveals that the mainstream elements within all four parties are not at all seeking a radical, strategic shift in external relations. Substantive debates tend to be focused on how to best manage cross-Strait relations, avoid PRC entrapment and the use of force, maintain good relations with Taiwan’s primary benefactor the United States, and how to best stem Taiwan’s economic and political marginalization in the international community.

With less than two years remaining in his term, President Chen and the DPP are looking to recover from their devastating loss in the December 2005 local elections. The DPP has become internally divided as it seeks to develop a consensus on how to best regain its public credibility, while at the same time fissures have emerged within the opposition camp. This transitional crisis is taking place during a period in which many on the island view their competitive advantage as diminishing and, in the absence of other alternatives, views themselves as increasingly reliant on mainland China for their continued economic development.

It is in this dynamic political and economic environment that Taiwan’s national defense establishment finds itself, while also in the midst of a major transformation that has been underway since at least 2000. The defense establishment has attempted to do its best to satisfy its political leadership, while at the same time maintaining operational effectiveness. The Chen Shui-bian Administration’s request for the acquisition of three key systems (diesel electric submarines, PATRIOT PAC-3 missiles, and P-3C maritime patrol aircraft) through a US$18 billion (NT$575.85 billion) special budget request has been held hostage to the political debates between the two camps.

The special budget request for these three systems was withdrawn in February 2006, and the MND has reconstituted its request in the form of a supplemental request to the annual 2006 defense budget. However, when the budget is forwarded to the Legislative Yuan, the passage of all portions of the new supplemental budget request is not assured. This quarter’s defense and national security analysis examines Taiwan’s dynamic political and economic environment with a particular focus on the factional politics within the KMT and DPP, and their effects on the continued impasse over the three items that were originally contained in the defense special budget request.

 

Executive Summary: Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q1, 2006

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Taiwan Defense & Security Reports

Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Annual Review, 2005

In 2005, Taiwan’s political landscape was marked with continued divisions in the island’s domestic polity. Issues at hand included the island’s political future, how to best manage Taiwan’s limited fiscal resources in a dynamic economic environment, and the continued political deadlock surrounding the legitimate requirements for an adequate self-defense capability within the context of Taiwan’s broader national interests.

This report first reviews Taiwan’s domestic political and economic environment in 2005, including the brief détente between the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the People’s First Party (PFP), the cross-Strait initiatives of the opposition parties, and the downturn in the DPP’s public image that in December resulted in the party’s worst electoral performance since it assumed power in 2000. Also examined are the economic challenges Taiwan is facing, including the growing national budget deficit that has been a source of debate for the past five years.

The report also reviews the key defense policy issues of 2005, including the continued impasse over the defense special budget request for diesel electric submarines, PATRIOT PAC-3 missile defense system, and P-3C maritime patrol aircraft. Finally, the report provides an outlook for 2006 and issues a number of recommendations for U.S. policymakers to consider over the coming year.

 

Executive Summary: Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Annual Review, 2005

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Taiwan Defense & Security Reports

Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q3, 2005

The stalemate over the Chen Shui-bian Administration’s request for funding three key weapon systems through special extra-budgetary means within Taiwan’s Legislative Yuan (LY) has been a significant disappointment for the United States and its defense industry. The special budget has also become a frustration to President Chen Shui-bian, whose popularity is at a record low, to the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), and to the Ministry of National Defense (MND).

The question asked by a senior United States government representative during the recent U.S.-Taiwan Business Council Defense Conference in San Diego is legitimate. If Taiwan is not willing to properly invest in its own self-defense, why should the United States continue to provide for it? The special budget has indeed become a domestic “political football,” and could be viewed as a symbol of Taiwan’s commitment to defend itself. It is true that national defense should be above partisan politics, and that the people of Taiwan should hold their politicians to similar standards. It is legitimate to ask how much should be sacrificed by the U.S. for the security and democracy of others.

The United States has a vested interest in a Taiwan that is able to maintain a sufficient self-defense capability; is stable, democratic, and economically viable; plays a constructive role in promoting political, economic, and military stability in the Taiwan Strait and the Western Pacific; has a professional, civilian-controlled defense establishment that is modern, joint, and able to function effectively should it be required to defend itself; and enjoys a political leadership that possesses the security and confidence to engage in a political dialogue with the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to achieve peaceful resolution of differences in a manner acceptable to the people of Taiwan.

With this in mind, this report attempts to address Taiwan’s security and commitment to its own defense. What are the conditions that have resulted in the current impasse? Is the special budget truly a symbol of Taiwan’s commitment to its defense? If the special budget does ultimately fail, what are the implications for the United States and U.S. defense industrial interests? Are there lessons that could be drawn in order to further U.S. national interests and those of the U.S. defense industry? If one assumes that Taiwan is an emerging yet still evolving democracy, what role could the United States and its defense industry play in assisting Taiwan through its growing pains?

 

Executive Summary: Taiwan Defense & Security Report – Q3, 2005

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Past Events

September 18-20, 2005 – US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2005

Event:
US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2005

September 18-20, 2005
San Diego, California

2005 US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference
2005 US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference

The United States–Taiwan Defense Industry Conference 2005 was held September 18-20, 2005 in San Diego, California. This was the fourth in a series of ongoing conferences addressing the future of U.S. defense cooperation with Taiwan, the defense procurement process, and Taiwan’s future defense and national security needs.

The first conference in this series was held in St. Petersburg, Florida in March of 2002, the second in February 2003 in San Antonio, Texas, and the third in October 2004 in Phoenix, Arizona.

Keynote Addresses
The 2005 conference featured keynote addresses from Huoh Shoou-Yeh, Deputy Minister for Armaments at Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense, and by speakers from the U.S. Departments of Defense and State.

Conference Program
Sessions at the United States-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference featured one moderator and several speakers. Each speaker presented a short summary of a paper on the session topic from his or her own viewpoint, followed by a moderator-driven question and answer period. This format provides the maximum amount of time for exchanges between the panel and the audience, offering a forum for substantial and valuable interaction and discussion.

Breakout Sessions
Three sub-sessions within Session IV concentrated on each branch of the services: Army, Air Force, and Navy. These sessions consisted of discussions focusing on current issues from the perspective of each individual branch, Army, Air Force, and Navy.

Archived version of the website for the 2005 US-Taiwan Defense Industry Conference